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Main Menu: BJRM 2002

The Main Menu screen of BJRM 2002 gives you two options for accessing the various parts of the program. You can either click on one of the prominently displayed "buttons," or you can select a choice from the drop-down Menus in the top left corner of the screen. BJRM 2002 features/sections include:

The One Second Simulator: Select from hundreds of pre-run simulations. Manipulate bet patterns. Find your optimum bet placement within a spread. Calculate Win Rate, ROR, DI, SCORE, N0 (N-Zero) and most all of the important blackjack statistics.

Trip-based Statistics: Determine your Trip (or Session) Risk-of-Ruin, expectation, and the odds of reaching certain goals and milestones. Graphically view typical "ups and downs" of your bankroll, hour-by-hour and trip-by-trip, in the " Take A Random Walk" section.

Risk of Ruin Calcs: Basic "lifetime" Risk-of-Ruin statistics, based on given Win Rates, SDs and Banks. Also, solve for required $ Bank, given a target Risk-of-Ruin value. View number of hands and hours required for +1, +2, and +3 SD results.

Systems 101: A basic entry-level "course" in several popular counting systems. Learn the card tags, I18 and F4 indices, and where to go for more information. Practice your Card Counting skill.  Estimate your probable hands-per-clock-hour, for play-all and wonging the 6 and 8 deck shoes.

Build One Sec Sim Files: Primarily for "Advanced" Users, this feature assists you in creating your own custom input files for use in the One Second Simulator. The data can be entered in two ways: (1) manually, based on output from simulations you have run with certain commercially available simulator programs, or (2) automatically parsed from the standard output report files of Karel Janecek’s Statistical Blackjack Analyzer program (purchased separately). If you find the pre-run simulations in the One Sec Simulator sufficient, and many of you will, you can just ignore this program feature.

Help: Access to the detailed on-line Help system for BJRM. Can be selectively printed out to serve as a User Guide.

BJRM's main feature, called the "One Second Simulator" (OSS), has, built-in, the statistical results of hundreds of already completed simulations, covering a wide range of blackjack rule and penetration combinations. Utilizing these simulations as a base, the OSS feature allows you to select a particular counting system (e.g. hi-lo, K-O, UBZII,  Zen, Red-7), the number of decks in play, a particular rules set, and a penetration level.

Then, for betting, you can: enter your own preferred pattern; select from a number of one-click choices; or, perhaps best of all, you can utilize what is likely OSS’s most valuable feature — its ability, when given a specific bet spread, to automatically compute the best size and placement of those bets in order to optimize the growth rate of your bankroll! And it does this for both "play-all" and "wonging," including determination of the optimum wong-in point (it is not always the first positive EV true or running count!)

For all you fans of Don Schlesinger’s writings, one of the one-click bet patterns in OSS features a hi-lo player using the "Illustrious 18" and "Fab 4" strategy departures, and utilizes the actual results from the 400,000,000 round simulations I generated as the basis for Chapter 10 of Don’s classic book, Blackjack Attack: Playing the Pros’ Way. [Note: If you are not familiar with Don’s book, you should be! You will find BJRM to be an excellent complement to Blackjack Attack, and vice versa]. OSS even goes beyond Chapter 10 of the First Edition, to include a complete set of data for 8-deck games!

New to this latest 2002 version of Blackjack Risk Manager are two features that I hope you will find useful and fun. In the "Systems 101" section, I have included a simple but very useful "practice your card counting" applet, perfect for practice or "warming-up" before you hit the casino , and I have also included "BJ Clock," a custom program designed especially for my collaboration on the Optimal Departure study in Blackjack Attack.  It will help you estimate your probable hands-player-per-clock-hour value - vital to determining your $$ expectation, and the effectiveness of your wonging "style".

Because I believe that many card counters do not really have a firm grasp on the nature of the bankroll swings they experience, due to the inexorable workings of the effects of standard deviation, BJRM has a program screen that graphically displays typical examples of the hour-by-hour and trip-by-trip fluctuations you may very well experience. I call this part of BJRM "Take a Random Walk," in reference to the common metaphor that the bankroll growth of a card counter is like taking "a random walk," which in the short- and medium-run, can sometimes lead all over the place, but, fortunately, trends upward as the long-run is approached. I think you’ll find this feature to be a real eye-opener.

In conclusion, I’d like to note that I have tried very hard to write Blackjack Risk Manager in such a way as to make a traditional, hard-copy User Guide unnecessary. In addition to this Help File, BJRM has automatic real-time "help," in that, as the mouse cursor is placed over the text and data on the screen, a small pop-up mini-window displays the descriptions and/or instructions you need to put the program through its paces.

So dig in, explore, and enjoy — Blackjack Risk Manager 2002. And may you never be surprised by the "ups and downs" of blackjack risk, again!

- John M. Auston, January 2002

 

Questions? E-mail BJRM Support by clicking HERE.